![]() His statement that “the supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting” applies to every form of major military confrontation and gray area warfare between opposing powers. As Sun Tzu pointed out in the Art of War well over 2,000 years ago, “war” does not have to involve the use of military force or any form of actual combat. Here, it is important to note that avoiding or minimizing combat is scarcely peace. This analysis explores the risk on the basis that war does not have to mean actual military conflict. This analysis is attached at the end of this announcement and is also available on the CSIS website at These issues are addressed in depth in a new analysis by the Emeritus Chair in Strategy at the CSIS entitled A World in Crisis: The “Winter Wars” of 2022–2023. and its strategic partners with both Russia and China, the rising levels of other types of violence that are emerging on a global level, how serious these wars and crises can become, and what kind of future could eventually emerge out of so many different crises, confrontations and conflicts, and trends. What is far less obvious is the level of confrontation between the U.S. ![]() It is obvious that the world now faces a wide range of potential wars and crises.
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